Mali host Rwanda on 11 November in AFCON qualifying, with five matches without a win to their name but a clear advantage in the standings and the ratings according to the Tactix Football website.
Mali host Rwanda on Wednesday 11 November 2026, at 17:00 British time, in an AFCON qualifying match. It is an official fixture that comes as the Mali national team have gone five matches, across all competitions, without a win, according to data from the statistics website Tactix Football.
On paper, the sporting context favours the hosts: Mali sit first in the standings, Rwanda third, six points behind. The Glicko-2 ratings recorded by the same source even place Mali 426 points above their opponents (1819 against 1393). The task now is to turn that advantage into a result, while the current run calls for caution.
Home solidity still to be confirmed
In their last seven home matches, Mali have recorded four wins, two draws and just one defeat, averaging 2.00 points per match, with 2.29 goals scored and 0.57 conceded on average, again according to Tactix Football. Those figures paint a picture of a team hard to handle on their own turf, both going forward and at the back.
That home form contrasts with Mali’s overall momentum, having gone five outings without a win. Returning in front of their own fans therefore offers a chance to get back to winning ways, provided they rediscover the sharpness of their recent performances at home.
The file does not mention the squad list: the analysis therefore remains focused on the sporting context and the statistical trends.
Rwanda far from home
On the other side, Rwanda travel with a mixed record. In their last eight away matches, the Rwandan national team have three wins, one draw and four defeats, according to Tactix Football. An up-and-down run that hints at opportunities for Mali, without guaranteeing a favourable outcome.
The standings confirm the gap between the two nations, with six points separating first from third. But current runs are a reminder that the hierarchy alone does not decide the result.
A clear precedent in 2021
The last meeting dates back to 11 November 2021, exactly five years to the day before this new fixture: Mali won 3-0 against Rwanda, according to Tactix Football.
The indicators put forward by the statistics website (advantage in the standings, ratings gap, home solidity) point to a logical favourite. They are not, however, a certain prediction, and Mali’s run of five matches without a win calls for caution before kick-off.