Zambia host Burundi on Wednesday 11 November 2026 (17:00 GMT) in CAN qualifying. The TACTIX model makes them favourites, with 1771 points against Burundi’s 1333.
The CAN qualifying calendar offers a Zambia-Burundi fixture on Wednesday 11 November 2026 (17:00 GMT). According to the TACTIX model’s data, Zambia go in as the bookmakers’ favourites: they are credited with 1771 points against 1333 for their opponents in the Glicko-2 ranking.
That theoretical lead says nothing, however, about the current form of the two national teams. Zambia are four games without a win in all competitions, while Burundi have lost their last four matches without scoring a single goal. Two negative runs that weigh on this clash.
A top spot to consolidate
In the group standings, Zambia sit first and are nine points clear of Burundi in fourth. A comfortable cushion, but one that contrasts with the national team’s recent results. At home, Zambia have won only two of their last nine matches, with two draws and five defeats, averaging 0.89 points per game according to TACTIX.
Those figures temper the favour granted by the Glicko-2 model. Top spot in the group does not protect Zambia from a bleak run of four games without a win, and the visit of Burundi looks like the chance to end it in front of their own fans.
Burundi at a standstill
On the other side, Burundi are going through an even trickier spell. Four straight defeats, without a single goal scored in those matches: the attacking drought is total. Away from home, the record is hardly more reassuring, with two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last eight away matches.
The TACTIX data sketch out this gap in form, without cancelling out the model’s lead. The nine points separating the two nations in the group standings show the stakes: a Burundian win would cut the gap in the table.
An answer awaited on Wednesday
Kick-off is set for 17:00 GMT on Wednesday 11 November 2026. For Zambia, the task is to halt their run of four games without a win and confirm on the pitch their status as favourites according to the Glicko-2 model. For Burundi, it is about ending four consecutive defeats and finding the back of the net again, having failed to score in their last four outings.